Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
83 Northeastern 100.0%   13   23 - 10 14 - 4 23 - 10 14 - 4 +5.9      +5.1 49 +0.8 146 65.9 257 +5.6 95 +4.1 2
105 Hofstra 0.1%   26 - 7 15 - 3 26 - 7 15 - 3 +4.6      +8.3 17 -3.7 266 68.1 196 +5.7 93 +6.6 1
126 College of Charleston 0.0%   23 - 9 12 - 6 23 - 9 12 - 6 +3.1      +3.0 95 +0.1 166 64.2 294 +4.8 107 +1.0 3
209 William & Mary 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 8 13 - 17 10 - 8 -2.7      -0.3 186 -2.4 243 70.8 124 -3.1 207 -1.4 4
247 Drexel 0.0%   12 - 19 7 - 11 12 - 19 7 - 11 -5.2      +0.6 157 -5.9 322 72.2 94 -4.9 238 -5.6 7
254 Delaware 0.0%   15 - 16 8 - 10 15 - 16 8 - 10 -5.5      +0.3 168 -5.7 317 60.7 342 -3.1 209 -4.0 5
263 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   9 - 23 5 - 13 9 - 23 5 - 13 -6.0      +0.8 151 -6.8 334 72.5 87 -7.4 282 -8.6 10
267 James Madison 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 -6.3      -1.7 227 -4.5 292 63.9 308 -5.4 251 -7.0 9
276 Towson 0.0%   9 - 22 6 - 12 9 - 22 6 - 12 -6.7      -2.7 252 -4.0 279 60.9 338 -8.4 300 -6.9 8
298 Elon 0.0%   9 - 21 7 - 11 9 - 21 7 - 11 -8.1      -3.2 262 -4.9 302 70.1 140 -8.0 294 -5.2 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Northeastern 2.0 100.0
Hofstra 1.0 100.0
College of Charleston 3.0 100.0
William & Mary 4.0 100.0
Drexel 6.0 100.0
Delaware 5.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 10.0 100.0
James Madison 8.0 100.0
Towson 8.0 100.0
Elon 6.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Northeastern 14 - 4 100.0
Hofstra 15 - 3 100.0
College of Charleston 12 - 6 100.0
William & Mary 10 - 8 100.0
Drexel 7 - 11 100.0
Delaware 8 - 10 100.0
UNC Wilmington 5 - 13 100.0
James Madison 6 - 12 100.0
Towson 6 - 12 100.0
Elon 7 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Northeastern
Hofstra 100.0% 100.0
College of Charleston
William & Mary
Drexel
Delaware
UNC Wilmington
James Madison
Towson
Elon


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Northeastern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 12.9 55.0 32.0 0.1
Hofstra 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Northeastern 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 15.6% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 15.6% 0.2 84.4 15.6
Sweet Sixteen 3.4% 0.0 96.6 3.4
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0